Record heat in 2023 and 2024 may just have been natural variability


Belgium was one of many counties that saw record temperatures in 2024

FREDERIC SIERAKOWSKI/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

The past couple of years have set worryingly high temperature records, but was the extraordinary global heat of 2023 and 2024 just a freak event down to natural variability, rather than a sign of something more worrying? Some climate scientists think so.

“From a model perspective, yes, it’s variability that we expect,” Karsten Haustein at Leipzig University in Germany told a meeting of the European Geosciences Union in Vienna last week.



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